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See How My System Crushed The S&P 500 By 14.35%
“Make 2014 the year to remember with some extra
trades from my new index trading system!” Despite the insanity of recent market rally and overseas financial issues, my followers and I are enjoying continued success with my TheGoldAndOilGuy program. Those who trade futures could be earning a robust 82% average annual return in 2014 with the new implementation of my automated trading systems for the SP500 index. Are you making money as the market continues to make new highs? If not, then you are likely trading from the gut and have a bias as to which way you want the market to move instead of following the major trends at play. November has been another highly profitable month for the system and subscribers pocketed more profits yet again today on our SP500 trade.
AWESOME CHART/RESULTS FOR NOVEMBER: Based on $50K Account
Automated Trading Systems If you’re ready to discover how to trade successfully in the shortest time possible, Then you need to get in on this special one-time deal being offered today…
LOOK AT WHAT SUBSCRIBERS SAYING!
Dude you are so awesome. Learning so much. Can’t thank you enough for the education and guidance you provide. -Luke Connel Hi Chris,
Thanks for the tip. I just sold the 10 weekly calls purchased shortly after you called this SDS play for .50 cents – they hit 1.01 yesterday while I had an appointment – today I sold for .94 – risked $500 made $440. Appreciate your updates and high profit trades! Regards, – Jim Thompson, North Caolina Fantastic advise……..I’ve never seen anybody give the advise on time based on current market movements consistently like this.Great work Chris and please keep it up! Cheers !! – Michael I., Toronto, Canada
Hi Chirs, I just wanted to say thanks for putting out the Morning Pre-Market Wrap Up videos. Personally, I am so addicted to your morning videos that I feel like my morning pre-market routine is not complete until I view it. You have helped me progress in my market knowledge and trading so much I can’t imagine not having that resource each day. If you ever putting out an educational DVD set containing all of your market knowledge, and maybe sharing how you obtained your trading skills. I for one would be very interested in getting it. Thanks again for all you do, and the service just keeps getting better and better! Hi Chris, I really admire your discipline, which in turn is helping develop mine – I am more than happy to sit on the sidelines and wait for the more probable setups, which inevitably come.
Keep up the stellar work..! Cheers, – Bry Chris,
I like the way you keep us out of dangerous markets and prepare us for an upcoming, low risk, tradable trend. Glad you do not buckle under pressure from subscribers to make a fast but dangerous buck. I am learning a lot about how to trade with you and appreciate the time you take to educate us. The last video about the oil futures market was eye-opening. Take care, – Lars
If you give me some time to prove myself in 2014 you should not only make money but learn to trade at the same time.
If you think my automated trading system is just another internet marketing trading scam, I applaud your skepticism. I come from a world where only results backed by cold, hard numbers have value, NOT empty words and hollow promises. So there’s no need for me to forgive you if you think my system which I have traded since 2006 and is automated to alert you only when the highest probability trades are available, is too good to be true. In this day and age, you SHOULD be skeptical. But the results for my system have been explosive and it continues to outperform the SP500 index. Basically, it’s beat the vast majority of hedge funds, pro-traders and money-managers! Join today and get ready to make 2014 the most exciting year for trading yet. TheGoldAndOilGuy newsletter will now incorporate some of this automated trading systems trades so we can benefit even more from the market. Warning: There is a risk of loss in trading. It is the nature of commodity and securities trading that where there is the opportunity for profit, there is also the risk of loss. Securities trading involves a certain degree of risk, and may not be suitable for all investors. Derivative transactions, including futures and forex, are complex and carry the risk of substantial losses. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. It is important you understand all the risks involved with trading, and you should only trade with risk capital. This information is for educational purposes only.
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Archive for month: November, 2013
Precious Metals ETF Trading: It’s been a week since my last gold & silver report which I took a lot of heat because of my bearish outlook. Friday’s closing price has this sector trading precariously close to a major sell off if it’s not already started.
On a percentage bases I feel precious metals mining stocks as whole will be selling at a sharp discount in another week or three. ETF funds like the GDX, GDXJ and SIL have the most downside potential. The amount of emails I received from followers of those who have been buying more precious metals and gold stocks as price continues to fall was mind blowing.
If precious metals continue to fall on Monday and Tuesday of this week selling volume should spike as protective stops will be getting run and the individuals who are underwater with a large percentage of their portfolio in the precious metals sector could start getting margin calls and cause another washout, spike low similar to what we saw in 2008.
ETF Trading Charts:
Below are updated with Friday’s closing prices showing technical breakdowns across the board..
Sweet & Sour ETF Trading Analysis:
Just to make things a little more interesting I would like to point out a couple other types of analysis.
Sweet: Through analysis of the CEF Central Fund of Canada Ltd. chart and evaluation it is clear precious metals are falling out of favor at an increased rate. This fund owns physical gold and silver bullion and investors are fleeing the fund so fast that it is now trading at a 7% discount of its asset value. While this may not seem good for metals I see it as a positive.
When everyone is running for one door after an extended moves has already taken place it tends to act as a contrarian indicator. Knowing that some of the largest percent moves in a trend takes place before reversing, I see this information as an early warning that a bottom will soon be put in place.
Sour: While the USD index has not been much help compared to 2012, I feel as though a rising dollar is likely to unfold for a couple weeks which may lend a hand to pulling the precious metals sector down.
Precious Metals ETF Trading Conclusion:
While I am starting to get bullish for a long term investment in precious metals I know that a bottom has likely not yet been made. But even if it has been, it is better to buy during a basing pattern or breakout to the upside from a basing pattern than to be underwater with a position for an extended period of time along with all the other negatives that come along with it.
I do like the idea of CEF as a long term investment when I feel the time is right. I have invested and traded it many times in the past. The key to trading the fund is to be sure you are buying it at fair value or a discount from the net asset value. You do not want to be buying it when it is trading at a 5-7% premium. The fund owns both gold and silver making it a simple diversified precious metals play.
Get More Free ETF Trading Ideas & Analysis at: www.GoldAndOilGuy.com
Chris Vermeulen
Pre Algorithmic Trading System Analysis: This week has been a little wild as stocks pulled back due to headline news. The two big drops which took place on heavy volume sent market participants into an emotional state liquidating their long positions on fear of a collapse. Even though the stock market shows no sign of the trend reversing down, traders are jumpy and quick to lock in gains with any negative new. Sounds like a “Wall Of Worry” to me.
Taking a look at the ES mini futures chart below which is a ten minute intraday chart. It is clear the recent pop in price is testing high volume resistance as seen on the chart with the blue horizontal bars.
Also the previous pivot highs and consolidations on the chart highlighted in red also confirms there is price resistance at this level. Thursday’s rally is likely ready for a little pullback or sideways consolidation at this point based on this information.
If we take a look at the Barchart Market Momentum index which is something I follow closely because it tells me when stocks have moved to far too fast in either direction. In simple terms, the market is either overbought or oversold when this chart reaches either extreme.
When the market closes with this indicator in the overbought or oversold zone, you should expect a pause or 1-3 day reversal in the opposite direction.
But keep in mind, when the trend is up, the only high probability zone to focus on is the oversold. We want to buy dips within an uptrend, and take partial profits or tighten our stops when the stock market is over extended to the upside. This is exactly what members and myself did today, locked in some profits and tightened our stops, well my Algorithmic Trading System told us to do it…
Logical Market Analysis Combined with Automated Algorithmic Trading System
Reviewing the charts for high volume resistance levels, previous pivot highs and lows, and a close eye on the Barchart momentum index like we just did in this report is only the tip of the iceberg when it comes to complete market analysis.
There are many other things one should analyze for precision market timing of the broad market. The stock market has several different forces at play which move price and using a type of analysis which I call INNER-Market Analysis allows us to capture all the market moving forces within one indicator. This February when my book is published on INNER-Market Analysis and algorithmic trading systems all this information will be available if you would like to learn more.
Some other areas of the market which must be analyzed are trends, active cycles, volatility, volume flows, and market sentiment to name a few.
Over the years I have been converting the way I analyze the market into an algorithmic trading system that catches each overbought and oversold market condition on specific chart timeframes. I have also implemented position and money management rules for the algorithm to trade in my brokerage account completely hands free which I must admit is the coolest feeling thing to experience.
What is an algorithmic trading system?
A trading algorithm is nothing more than a bunch of rules which you create (your trading strategy) converted into a computer language so a financial charting platform can run your trading strategy automatically. Everything is done for you including the trading. The only thing the system creator needs to do is monitor the algorithmic trading system for technical issues and possible tweaks here and there.
Take a look at the 30 minute algorithmic trading results
Since Oct 30th the S&P500 index has been chopping around and shaking traders out of their long and short positions with intraday price whipsaws (nominal new highs and lows which runs the stops of the average market participant). The index is only risen by 1.2% in the last 23 days while my algorithmic trading system which trades the S&P 500 index futures (ES Mini) and/or (3x Leveraged ETFs UPRO & SPXU) has been pulling money out of the market at an incredible rate.
Remember these trades in the example chart above are just two types for algorithms trading within my system. There are 12 algo trading strategies covering all market conditions automatically managed in one complete solution.
Conclusion About Using an Algorithmic Trading System:
Trading or investing for that matter is no easy task. And I know firsthand that even if one has a proven winning strategy it’s almost impossible follow the rules and catch every trade setup generated. I do not know how many times I see perfect setups about to unfold and then miss them because I was reviewing other charts, sending an email, going to the washroom or grabbing a bite to eat.
These missed opportunities along with a few other reasons I will explain in my next post, is what got me started programming my trading strategies to do exactly what I showed you here.
I will admit, it has been a major learning process, ridiculously expensive to create and I can safely say that I now know several of the main stream programmers available. I also know who can make miracles happen and who cannot.
This post is to share with you some new and exciting things unfolding based around my index trading strategy. Over the next week I will share my story of how algorithmic trading became my focus, passion and automated income stream and how you can do it also.
Chris Vermeulen
We all know quantitative easing devalues the Dollar but contrary to that general statement it looks as though we could see the dollar index continue to rise for a few more weeks.
If we analyze the chart of the Dollar ETF (UUP) it is clear that the short term momentum has turned up. The break above the down trend line and recent bounce off support bodes well for the dollar index.
The bull flag chart pattern that has formed in the past month has a measured move price target of roughly $22.30. The level also happens to be a key pivot point on the chart along with high volume resistance.
I expect the dollar to continue to work its way higher over the next week or two with $22.30 being the line in the sand where sellers will jump on price and drive it back down, or at minimum force price to consolidate for a few days.
US Dollar ETF Trading Strategy – Daily Chart Analysis
Chris Vermeulen – www.GoldAndOilGuy.com – Free Trading Ideas
Silver, Gold & Miners About To Sell Off Again
A couple weeks ago I posted these same charts talking about the pending breakout (in either direction) with silver, gold and mining stocks. Fast forwarding to this week its clear this sector continues its struggle to rally. Key support levels are now being tested and if these levels fail prepare for a sharp correction with mining stocks showing the most downside potential of roughly 25% for the GDX ETF trading fund.
Let’s take a quick look at what is going on.
Gold Trading Chart:
The chart of gold shows price being wedge into the apex of the down sloping resistance trend line and the rising support trendline. Gold was trading below this level but has since bounced. But if gold closes the week below this line in the sand the price could start to fall quickly and test the $1200 per ounce within a week or two.
Silver Trading Chart:
Silver is under performing gold and trading below its support level currently. If silver does not recover by Friday’s closing bell then things could get ugly for a few weeks as investors start to exit their positions. That being said, I need to point out that silver is more of a wild card when using trend lines like this. Both gold and gold miners should be confirming this breakdown in silver if it is the real deal.
Gold Mining Stocks ETF:
The chart of gold miners I like the most. I like it because it’s pointing to lower prices, roughly 25% lower if the breakdown takes place. Gold mining stocks could be a fantastic long term investment if we see the $17.50 level reached on this GDX etf.
Last week I talked about ETF trading strategies and the big picture on gold, silver, miners and bonds. They look to be nearing a major bottom and once they do bottom it should be a great buying opportunity for specific stocks or the entire sector.
The next few weeks are going to be crucial for precious metals and we will keep an eye on them as this bottom unfolds. Get more reports like this here: www.GoldAndOilGuy.com
Chris Vermeulen
Stock market continue its momentum from yesterday but struggled to climb. More weak comments from Fed Chair nominee Janet Yellen suggested that she would likely see QE continue for a while to help the US economy get back up on its feet.
QE liquidity has been one of the main forces driving the stock rally over the past year and today was no exception. The Dow and S&P broke out to new highs while the NASDAQ lagged a bit weighed down by Cisco’s poor earnings numbers. Gold and silver also rebounded today but with falling gold demand, it still has work to do to convince traders this is more than just a dead cat bounce.
Retailer Nordstrom beat expected earnings, which offset Wal-Mart’s disappointment numbers this morning. This news, along with Macy’s and JC Penney’s numbers suggest that high-end retailers are starting to outperform discounters, a sign on increasing consumer spending and an improving economy.
A Canadian magazine I read today shows that 91% of Canadian startup companies are planning to hire more staff in the 2014. That is very encouraging numbers…
ETF Trading Strategies video analysis and forecasts
SP500, gold, silver, oil, natural gas, bonds & the dollar index
This video provides insight on current trend and some new big trends likely to unfold early in 2014. With the proper ETF trading strategies we will be able to profit from both rising and falling market conditions.
Chris Vermeulen
www.GoldAndOilGuy.com – Free ETF Trading Strategies
www.GoldAndOilGuy.com – Free ETF Trading Strategies