Archive for category: $SPY

We are constantly amazed that our Advanced Dynamic Learning (ADL) price modeling system has been incredibly accurate over the past 7+ months.  Our researchers, at www.TheTechnicalTraders.com, called the early 2018 rally weeks in advance.  We called the resistance levels and top in late January.  We called a February 21~27 market top formation, called the market bottom on March 28, and last week called the market top to the hour and locked in 17.7% trading a simple 3x index ETF.  Today, we are going to further illustrate the power and capabilities of the ADL price modeling system and what we are expecting over the next 7~10+ trading days.

Part of the power of the ADL price modeling system is the ability to see what the future may include as far as price targets and potential setups.  When price mirrors the targets relatively closely, we assume the ADL predictions were accurate and that price is tracking the ADL predicted targets well enough to not expect many anomalies.  But when price diverges from the ADL predicted targets by a wide range, we experience a “price anomaly” that indicates a very unique opportunity for profits.  Think of these price anomalies as unusual price support or pressure causing price to deviate from the ADL predicted price targets for a short while.  Price should, assuming that the ADL predicted price targets are like future price anchor points, attempt to move towards these future ADL price targets and may move towards them in an aggressive manner.  When the anomaly sets up and the price range is substantial, it usually means that we have a fantastic opportunity for profits setting up as long as price attempts to recover towards the ADL price targets.

Here is our first example, the ES Daily chart.  We’ve highlighted the price anomaly window with a dark red eclipse shape and you should be able to clearly see the +80 pt price gap that is setting up as of the close on Friday, April 20.  If you follow the DASHed ADL predictive price targets on this chart, you will see that prices have been below most of these ADL price targets over the past two weeks and the most recent price levels were expected to drop a bit, but not as deep as the pullback extended today.  This type of setup creates the anomaly pattern we look for as opportunity for a future upside, in this case, move.  Our theory is that price will attempt to re-balance, or track back, to the ADL predicted price targets.  This means we are setting up for a +80 to +100 pt upside move in the ES.

Additionally, the YM chart is showing a similar pattern with a similar ADL anomaly range.  This chart should seem oddly similar to the ES chart.  The ADL price modeling system is showing similar types of future price targets, yet the YM targets are slightly varied from the ES targets.  The ES is expected to rocket higher over the next 2~5+ days where the YM appears to track an immediate +400~500 pt upside move, then stall for a few days, then continue higher for an additional +400~500 pts.  You should be able to see this setup by tracking the YELLOW DASHed ADL predictive price targets on this chart.

We’ll close our this research with a YM Weekly chart to more clearly illustrate what the ADL price modeling system is suggesting for the extended future.  Remember, these ADL predicted price targets go all the way forward to the end of July, 2018 – nearly 3 months into the future.  Yes, we can attempt to see well into the future with the ADL price modeling system and as long as we continue to refresh our analysis for newer, more recent ADL events, we should be able to accurately map out the future of almost any market.

Yet, what is interesting about this Weekly YM chart is that the ADL predictive analysis modeling system took data from 22 historically similar instances of price/technical data, which we call Price DNA mapping, and attempted to predicted the future price targets based on all of this data that tracked quite well over the past 5~6 weeks.  If you study the DASHed levels on this chart, you’ll see that prices tracked these predictive levels almost perfectly over the past 5+ weeks and that the future predicted price targets are all substantially higher than the current price level.  In this case, on this Weekly YM chart, it appears the upside ADL price target levels are +1000~1800 pts higher than the current price.  That would be a fantastic move for LONGs if this move happens.

Yes, the same Daily YM ADL price anomaly is setting up with a +1000 Daily price target, yet the Weekly ADL modeling chart shows us that this upside move may actually be far greater than we expected from the Daily chart.  What should a trader do with this type of information?

That’s right, traders should understand this is an opportunity for a potentially immediate upside move beginning early next week in the US majors.  We believe many traders did not want to hold positions over the weekend after the Syria events last weekend.  We believe last weeks selling was a “washout low” psychological event that is not related to fundamental price dynamics. We believe in our ADL system because it has proven to be extremely accurate over the past 7+ months and we believe this move will execute just as we have described in this research post.

With that said, these broad based market predictions are not nearly as easy to trade and profit from as you think. The fact is, the market has a way to shake you out of positions just before the move you expect to happen takes place. The market manipulates and takes advantage of emotional traders to the extreme.

If you want to know how to take advantage of these moves and profit consistently from the markets, then visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we help our valued subscribers find and execute success every week.  These types of tools are only one component of what we offer our members – we also offer Daily video analysis of the market, advanced research posts, Daily updates and more.  We know we are the only research team that can offer you these types of advanced predictive modeling systems and you can see the value we can offer you.  If you have ever wanted to know what the markets are going to do with relative certainty, then you owe it to yourself to see how we can help you see opportunities more clearly.  Visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com today.

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53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Everyone is talking about the incredible price move in silver on April 18, 2018.  For years we have been talking about the setup in the metals markets and alerting our members to opportunities as they arise. Recently, we alerted our members to an incredible opportunity in Silver and we caught this move before it skyrocketed higher.  Now, everyone wants to know what’s next.  Here is our take on the Silver trade and what you need to know.

All the technical and price valuation indicators regarding the relationship of Gold to Silver have been set for many months telling traders that Silver is the clear leader in any price advance in metals.

Current open positions show that a relatively strong short bias has been in place in Silver for a few months.  This adds to the potential of a massive short squeeze rally playing out over the next few weeks/months.  Additionally, as greater fear enters the markets, Gold and Silver will likely advance quite substantially.

Technically, Silver has entered a new phase of trend on April 11, 2018 with a new price high that broke previous high price levels.  This indicated that Silver may attempt a price breakout with a new bullish trend.  Additionally, a convoluted FLAG formation completed near that same date and price began to oscillate between $16.00 & $16.65 – retesting support and resistance levels before the breakout new high on April 11.  Our longer-term analysis, which we’ll illustrate in the last chart of this series, was clearly showing us this recent price rotation was the setup of a Wave 3 price advance and we just needed to be prepared for it.

This, more detailed technical chart below, illustrates the April 11 new price high breakout as well as the rotation of the primary technical indicators near this April 11^th date.  Even though we didn’t have any clear closing price advance above technical resistance (near $16.80), we began to see upside pressure building that convinced us the time for the breakout was nearing.

Another key factor to keep in mind is that we had yet to see any real price advance with higher volume – a key element of any sustained price advance.  Even as of today, we are seeing the first larger volume day with a moderate price advance.  We do not consider this “technical confirmation of any sustained upside move” yet and we are still waiting for a high volume day with an accelerated upside price advance.

This, final, Weekly Silver chart below shows a clearer picture of what we are expecting to play out over the next few weeks and months.  The $17.20 closing price on April 18^th was technically a “confirmed price breakout” and established a new bullish trend in Silver.  Right now, $17.45 is critical resistance and any closing price advance above this level will confirm an advance to near $18.35 (which will likely be very quick).  $18.35 is the current upper resistance zone that price MUST breach in order to advance higher.

All this analysis is based on Fibonacci price rotation theory which indicates that price will always attempt to establish new higher highs or lower lows.  Thus, given the new bullish price trend, these upper resistance zones become targets for the future price advance in Silver.

We would like to add that any price rotation where price drops near $16.75 or lower, yet stays above $16.00, should be considered a “Buy Zone”.  This range is currently acting as price support and any retest of this range will likely result in a solid “buy entry opportunity”.  $16.00 is currently our hard support level, think of it like the water level in the pool.  This means any price rotation below $16.00 would cause us to become much more cautious of any future price rally.  The ultimate recent low, near $15.65 would have to be breached before we would consider this new bullish trend ENDED or OVER.

Assuming we get additional higher volume price advanced in the near future and the upper resistance targets are hit and breached, our immediate upside objective is $21.25 and further upside targets can be identified as we do more detailed research.  The upside potential of this Silver trade is immense and could last many months or well into 2019 or longer.

If you want to know what we are telling our members about this silver trade, then please consider joining Wealth Building Newsletter for more detailed Daily videos and analysis.  You won’t want to miss this move in the metals, folks.  We’ve been calling ETF trades for months with incredible accuracy.

We know most of you who follow our analysis know we’ve been calling these markets almost perfectly since well before the start of 2018.  Visit our website to read more of our recent research reports and to learn how we can assist you in staying well ahead of these market moves.  Our most recent trade for our members pulled +17.7% in just a few days.  We can’t stress the importance of having quality research partners to assist you in knowing what to expect in the markets and having a team of traders to assist you in finding great trades.  We can help you find greater success and stay our of trouble in the markets.

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The US majors are all nearly 1% higher for the day with the NASDAQ up over 2.25%.  Our analysis of the markets was DEAD ON.  We called the 2678 level on the ES as a key resistance level to watch before any breakout to the upside would potentially happen.  We also called this market bottom nearly three weeks ago on March 28, 2018 and we are up over 15% on a position to take advantage of it with our followers.  We have been nailing these market reversals with incredible accuracy all year and we are just getting started with our Advanced Dynamic Learning systems we have developed.

We should all expect this move higher to continue for the next few weeks as a dual time/price cycle is driving prices higher for the next few weeks.  Our predictive analysis and traditional technical analysis has indicated this move will last till after the cycle apex – which should be near the end of April or early May.  At that time, we should expect a price stagnation/rotation that is rather muted in range because the overall dynamics of this cycle move is still strongly bullish.  We will update you with new data as we update our research, but if you want to know about moves before the happen you are best to subscribe to our Wealth Building Newsletter for real-time analysis and trade alerts.

On the chart below you can see the price channel is also driving price rotation throughout this advance.  Expect the markets to continue their push higher until they near recent highs.  At that point, expect the markets to stall a bit in a sideways rotation for a few days before attempting another push higher near or after May 7^th.

This is an incredible opportunity for traders and investors.  The price moves we have been able to identify and call correctly over the past 6+ months have resulted in some fantastic opportunities for our members.  Visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to subscribe today and stay ahead of these markets and increase your profits.  Where else can you get this type of detailed, consistent, and accurate price analysis?  We believe we provide incredible value and insight to our members and we welcome you to join our other members in building greater future success.

Friday night opened up a whole new perspective on the global markets with the coordinated targeted attack on Syria.  It’s not that we didn’t know this was a possibility, yet the event itself changes how the markets may react on Monday and throughout this next week.  Our researchers at Technical Traders Ltd. have been diligently trying to identify the price rotations that will occur early next week and we believe this research post will help to prepare all investors for what may be a wild ride.

First off, with this event playing out late Friday night and early into Saturday, there are a number of things we have to consider.  The US Dollar may be under some pressure this week as a result of this event.  Gold and Silver may rally as fear and panic enter the markets.  Oil will likely rise on fear of a disruption or conflict related supply issue.  The US stock market will likely rotate with a bit with continued large price volatility early Monday morning as traders attempt to reposition after this event.  Given all of this, the long-term perspective has to be maintained in order to understand the true market dynamics.

As we understand it, this event was a “shot over the bow”, so to say, with regards to the players in Syria and the fact that chemical weapons attacks will not be allowed to continue.  Syria is an absolute mess with multiple parties attempting to develop alliances and dominate the narrative of this conflict.  The US involvement started quite a while ago and we believe the US will attempt to stay as far away from direct engagement as possible with regards to this ongoing event

As traders, we have to understand that this type of isolated event may create price anomalies in the markets that present incredible opportunities for smart investors. Our ADL price modeling system is still warning us that the US markets should be headed higher over the next 3~5 weeks.  How does this event in Syria change these predictions?  It doesn’t.  It just means that pricing pressure because of this event may create what we call a “price anomaly” that allows us to position our trades for the “recovery event.

This SPY chart illustrates what we believe will be the most likely outcome.  If investors panic and rush into the US markets, then we could see a broad market rally early this next week.  If investors panic and attempt to rush into a protectionist position, then we could see the US majors consolidate near these lower price ranges for a few weeks setting up the “price anomaly” we have been discussing.  Either way, we believe the markets will attempt a massive upside move in the near future because our advanced price modeling systems are showing a clear upside bias as well as the fact that capital will always move into safe and stable environment for returns.  The US and other established markets are really the only places where capital will attempt to reside if this conflict extends much further.

This additional SPY chart shows a number of key technical elements; the Standard Deviation Price Channel and the key Volume Support & Resistance zones.  These are important for all traders to understand, the Volume Support & Resistance zones are key to understanding the current price consolidation range.  These levels are going to continue to be price boundaries till price breaks these levels and attempt a move higher or lower.  The Standard Deviation Price Channel is also key to understanding that price will attempt to “recover” to this level at some point – unless some massive market event disrupts this channel and creates a new price channel.  We believe the markets have not accomplished this disruption event yet and the current price channel is still valid.

This $INDU weekly chart provides a much clearer example of the ADL price modeling system at work and what we believe could be an explosive upside price move within the next 3~5 weeks.  See how the ADL price modeling system is predicting the “Expected Price Target Range” much higher than current price levels?  If the Syria event continues to hold prices down in the illustrated “Price Compression Zone”, then the reactive recovery event for price will be an explosive upside price swing in the near future.  These are the types of anomalies that we look for in our analysis.  They can be very powerful and very profitable if one knows how to position selected trades to take advantage of these moves.

Lastly, this one chart sums up our metals analysis quite well.  The Syria event is probably not over yet and the world’s powers will continue to control the narrative of this event for quite a while.  What we can determine from this is that some level of additional fear will likely reenter the markets which means that Metals and Oil will likely move higher as this fear comes into play.  This SIL Weekly chart shows that our ADL price modeling systems is predicting substantially higher prices over the next 3~12+ weeks.  Many people have discussed that Silver is the poor man’s Gold and the disparity in pricing between Gold and Silver makes Silver a substantially advantageous commodity to own. If this ADL price modeling is correct, Silver and SIL will begin to skyrocket higher over the next few weeks and months as capital, which is always searching for a safe and viable environment for returns, hunts for the best protected areas of the market for continue ROI growth.  Where will it go??  Probably into the US equities, metals and oil.

Remember, with events like this, there is not a single person on the planet that can attempt to predict the future with any degree of accuracy.  Even our own price predictive modeling systems can’t be 100% accurate all the time.  We have to consider all perspectives of these markets and when we get more than one analysis that confirms our primary research, then we have a better understanding of what might happen.  What we can tell you is that our team of researchers are dedicated to helping our members stay ahead of the markets and find suitable trading opportunities for success.  Our analysis and price modeling systems have been dead-on accurate through almost all of 2018 and late 2017.  Our analysis is saying that we have to watch what happens early this week to see which of the two expected price reactions are going to play out and make decisions based on what price is doing then.  Still, we have a plan to execute positional trades for our members to allow them to profit from these moves either way and we believe the opportunity for success is incredible.

If you want to learn how to take advantage of these types of opportunities and market anomalies with stock and ETF trade alerts, then visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com and see what we have to offer.  Start off with our Quarterly membership to give yourself ample time to see how we find and deliver success for our members.  Remember, these moves don’t always play out like we expect, we will be updating our members with new research as the markets show different setups in the future.  Right now, we’ve shown you what will likely happen for the next 3~5+ weeks and we are uniquely positioned to take advantage of these moves.  If you feel you are in need of our assistance, then please visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can assist you in profiting from these massive price swings.