ADL Predicts Oil Prices Will Fall Below $40

There are times when our research team interprets our advanced predictive modeling systems so well that we call a move in the markets 3 to 10+ months in advance of the move actually happening.  It has happened for our team of research so often lately that we are somewhat used to the accolades we receive from our followers and members.  Our October 2018 Gold price predictions are still playing out  accurately and continue to amaze people – even though we made these predictions over 12 months ago.

Today, we wanted to highlight our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling systems expectations for Crude Oil, but before we get into the details be sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter. The research post we made on July 10, 2019 (see below).  At that time, we warned that Crude Oil was about to head much lower and that our ADL modeling system was suggesting that Oil prices would rotate between $47 and $64 before breaking much lower in November 2019.  Ultimately, Oil prices will fall below $40 ppb following our timeline and could begin a broader downside move before the end of October 2019.  Read our full prediction/research report from the link below.

SOURCE: July 10, 2019: PREDICTIVE MODELING SUGGEST OIL HEADED MUCH LOWER

We believe the support level near $50.50 will act as a temporary support level over the next 3 to 10+ days before a moderate price breakdown below this level begins.  Our expectations for November 2019 are that oil prices may fall to levels below $45 ppb on a deeper downward price move, yet will recover to levels near $47 near December 2019/January 2020.

We do believe the ultimate target for Crude Oil prices are to levels below $40 ppb and that price may attempt to make a move towards these level as early as January 2020.  Our ADL predictive modeling system has shown us the path for oil prices and, so far, the real price has mirrored this expectation almost perfectly – even the high price in September aligned with our expected high price near $60.

Weakness should dominate in late October and early November – carrying all the way through most of November.  Pay attention to the ADL chart above and our July 10th predictions.  Oil will target levels below $40 by late December 2019 or early January 2020.

All it is going to take is for this $50.50 support level to be tested and breached for the next price move to begin.  Be prepared for the volatility that may hit oil prices near this critical support level and be prepared for the next move to levels near $44~47.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar and SPECIAL OFFER – CLICK HERE

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Dow Jones May Have Already Bottomed But SP500 & Nasdaq Have Further To Go

Have you been following our research?  Were you prepared for this move like we were?  Did you profit from this incredibly quick and volatile downside price move in the US markets?  What is it going to do to the foreign markets and what next?

Our team of researchers has been all over this setup many months before it happened.  In fact, we issued a research article on September 30 suggesting our predictive modeling system was warning of a big price rotation in the NQ and ES.  On September 21, we authored another research article suggesting a “massive price reversion may be days or weeks away”.  On September 7th, we authored yet another article suggesting “US STOCK MARKET HASN’T CLEARED THE STORM YET”

In case you missed our research, read and follow our work below.  While others may have completely missed this week’s breakdown move, we called it more than 30+ days ago and provided very clear and concise information for all of our followers to know what was about to breakdown in the markets.  Our morning coffee video analysis recap is the one thing… that single investment that’s going to turn into the greatest investment you’ve every made for your trading and investments.

If you find that you get analysis paralysis from reading too many articles from various news and trading sites feel free to do your self a favor just skip reading 5- 10 articles a day and being confused about what to do next get our Daily 8 Minute Technical Analysis of all the major markets and commodities. Forget the news and follow the markets with our proven technical analysis methods.

September 30, 2019: PREDICTIVE MODELING SUGGESTS BROAD MARKET ROTATION IN THE NQ & ES.

September 25, 2019: DEMOCRATS LAUNCH FORMAL IMPEACHMENT – WHAT SHOULD TRADERS EXPECT?

September 24, 2019: IS SILVER ABOUT TO BECOME THE SUPER-HERO OF PRECIOUS METALS?

September 23, 2019: IS THE TECHNOLOGY SECTOR ABOUT TO BREAK LOWER?

September 21, 2019: MASSIVE PRICE REVERSION MAY BE DAYS OR WEEKS AWAY

September 17, 2019: VIX TO BEGIN A NEW UPTREND AND WHAT IT MEANS

September 7, 2019: US STOCK MARKET HASN’T CLEARED THE STORM YET

August 30, 2019: TRANSPORTATION INDEX POINTS TO STOCK MARKETS WEAKNESS

August 13, 2019: GLOBAL CENTRAL BANKS MOVE TO KEEP THE PARTY ROLLING – PART III

DOW JONES DAILY PRICE CHART

Now for the really good stuff, the YM may have already reached its lowest point and may begin to form a bottom near the 26000 levels.  This is the predicted downside price target level from our ADL predictive modeling system and it only took two big down-days to reach this level.  We really need to pay attention to how the markets react at this point and the YM will be key to understanding if the rest of the ADL predictions about the ES and NQ are likely to play out as we suggested.

DAILY SP500 INDEX

This ES chart highlights the downside price move to the 2880 level, our projected price target, and initial support level.  At this point, the ES has fallen, just like the YM, to levels that may prompt some price support.  We do believe the ES will fall further, possibly targeting the 2800 price level, before finding any real support.

Read the research articles listed in today’s research post.  We’ve been well ahead of this move the entire time and we called this move perfectly using our predictive modeling systems, Fibonacci price modeling systems, and other tools.  Our researchers have the ability to see into the future sometimes without predictive modeling tools.

In fact, we already have an idea of what will happen over the next 3 to 5+ years, but the price is our ultimate tool of choice.  We allow price to dictate what it wants to do, then use our predictive modeling tools to align price movement with our technical and predictive analysis – that is our secret, and you can’t get it anywhere else on the planet.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar and SPECIAL OFFER TODAY ONLY – CLICK HERE

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Oil, Precious Metals, And US Market, All With Very Different Trends

Chris Vermuelen, Founder of The Technical Traders joins Cory Fleck to look at the charts for oil, gold and the US markets. While all are trending in very different directions the US markets are closing in on a very important level that if broken could be very bad for risk on investors. Also of note that oil has given back all the gains since the Saudi oilfields bombing.

Note – This interview was recorded Wednesday Oct 2nd late in the day.

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar and SPECIAL OFFER TODAY ONLY – CLICK HERE

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Downside Price Rotation Dominates After Manufacturing Data

Our research team has been all over this longer-term Pennant/Flag setup and the potential for the breakdown in the US/Global markets.  The US manufacturing data released today confirmed what we believed would be the outcome of the extended trade issues between the US and China – a moderate slowdown in US manufacturing.  Couple that with a US Fed that is attempting to navigate very difficult economic developments, consumers headed into the Christmas season unsure of what lies ahead, the US political environment (almost complete chaos) and uncertainties with foreign markets and we have a perfect setup for “investor malaise”.

This is something we last saw after 9/11 and even earlier in 1990 when the US invaded Kuwait.  With each of these events, consumers and investors entered a phase of moderate indifference/malaise in terms of attention put towards global economics and investing as well as a general unwillingness to actively engage in anything related to investing and finance related.  It appeared that consumers and investors were just busy taking care of their lives, families, jobs and watching the “news cycle” as it seemed every evening something new hit the news-cycles to distract from the markets.

If this is the case with the new Impeachment proceedings, the US Presidential election event (2020) and geopolitical trade/finance issues in today’s markets, then we may be entering a period where capital will continue to shift into safe-havens, protective stocks (DOW and dividend-paying stocks) and attempt to shun the high-flying, high-risk technology, Biotech and heavy-equipment and other stocks that rely on a booming global economy.  We have about 13 months to go before the November 2020 US Presidential elections and it appears we have a dramatically changing economic environment ahead of us.

If this downward price move continues as we expect, capital will move away from risk factors and into safe-havens, bonds, and blue-chip stocks as a method of protecting against valuation risks.  The NASDAQ and technology stocks could get crushed while the VIX index rockets higher. The smart money index and the price reversion look to be starting now and we explained it much more detail in this article.

S&P 500 (ES) DAILY CHART

This ES Daily chart highlights the new lower low produced by the downside price move on October 1.  This new low confirms the bearish trend is currently dominating the direction and suggests price may attempt to target the 2880 level (first level of support) before possibly moving lower.  Our researchers believe the ES is likely to fall 5% to 12% over this total downside rotation based on our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system. If this happens then see what we think will happen to the price of the VIX. Thus, retesting August 2019 lows is really going to be a key setup to determine what happens next.

DOW JONES DAILY CHART

This YM Daily chart provides an even more dramatic example of the new price low set up that continues to suggest further downside price action is in our future.  Support near 26000 would be our first target level and ultimate support near 25000 would be our ultimate support level based on recent price rotation.  Ideally, we believe the YM will move towards the 26000 level and find support rather quickly.  Much more quickly than the ES and NQ – as we’ve recently detailed in our ADL predictive modeling research article.

NASDAQ DAILY CHART

Because we believe the NASDAQ and the S&P stocks are more likely to experience a broader price rotation than the Dow Jones stocks, we believe that capital will begin a very dramatic and dedicate shift away from risk over the next 2 to 3+ weeks.  This would suggest that certain S&P and Dow stocks/sectors could see some support setting up within a 3~5 week span – well before the NASDAQ stocks find any real support.  It also suggests that Metals and Miners are likely to begin another rally higher over the next few weeks/months.

Ultimately, this will result in the VIX rallying much higher, as we suggested near 30+ days ago, and possibly targeting levels above 25 (initially), then possibly 35 as the capital shift extends.  Once capital begins to pour out of risk and into safe-havens, the VIX could rally above 40 on a deep price downturn in the NASDAQ.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

If this downside rotation extended into the global stock market, we may see a much broader rotation of capital throughout the world as risk factors are heightened and credit/debt issues are pushed to the limits for certain foreign nations/corporations.  This is likely to be a “shake-out” moment if the downside price move extends deeply.

Right now, we need to watch how the foreign markets will react to this new and how consumers and corporations address this manufacturing slowdown.  Obviously, everything is not as rosy as one might think given the global trade and economic issues.  But we believe this rotation is very healthy for the markets and if our ADL predictive modeling is correct, the ES and YM will recover near mid-November for a moderate Christmas rally for 2019.  The NASDAQ/technology/Biotech sectors, though, may not be so lucky.

Be sure to ride my coattails as I navigate these financial markets and build wealth while others lose nearly everything they own during the next financial crisis. Join Now and Get a Free 1oz Silver Round or Gold Bar!

I can tell you that huge moves are about to start unfolding not only in metals, or stocks but globally and some of these supercycles are going to last years. This quick and simple to understand guide on trading with technical analysis will allow you to follow the markets closely and trade with it. Never be caught on the wrong side of the market again and suffer big losses. PDF guide: Technical Trading Mastery

As a technical analysis and trader since 1997, I have been through a few bull/bear market cycles. I believe I have a good pulse on the market and timing key turning points for both short-term swing trading and long-term investment capital. The opportunities are massive/life-changing if handled properly.

Chris Vermeulen
www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

NOTICE: Our free research does not constitute a trade recommendation or solicitation for our readers to take any action regarding this research.  It is provided for educational purposes only.  Our research team produces these research articles to share information with our followers/readers in an effort to try to keep you well informed.

S&P 500 and GDXJ Trend Signals Posted Today

I have just posted our most current trend charts for the stock market and gold miners. As you know money generally rotates between risk-on (stock market) to risk-off (metals, bonds) so it’s important to know when you should shift your money from one asset class to the next.   These trends and swing trade charts which will update daily on our website are second to none (in my opinion), and they are only getting better with time.

GDXJ GOLD MINERS TEND & SIGNALS – SEPT 30

2019 has been a good year for those buying and holding GDXJ which is up 19% year to date, but with these signals for ur entry and exit points in the precious metals sector we are up over 42% alone just for the precious metals plays alone this year.

S&P 500 INDEX TREND & TRADE SIGNALS – SEPT 30

My ETF trading newsletter (Wealth Building Newsletter) is the best of all worlds in terms of analysis, forecasts, swing trades, and trend signals. Think of this Wealth Building Newsletter as a combination of VantagePoints market price prediction software allowing you to know what to expect today/tomorrow ($10,000+ value), PLUS the power of having trend and trade signals similar to VectorVest premium with real-time alerts ($1500 value). The best part is you get all this delivered each morning in one email, and a short 8 minute video telling you JUST what you need to know to profit from the next market move.   No FluffNo Software to Install or LearnNo More Information Overload – Analysis Paralysis   Get my special service limited time offer for only $62 a month when you join our 2yr subscription plan.

By subscribing now, you will save hundreds of dollar a year, plus you get a free gold bar shipped to you. If you wait, its going to cost you more.

Offer ends in 48 hours!

JOIN NOW AN SAVE 30%, LAST CHANCE – CLICK HERE

Chris Vermeulen – Technical Traders Ltd

Predictive Modeling Suggests Broad Market Rotation In The NQ And ES

We wanted to share some information that suggests the NQ (NASDAQ) and ES (S&P 500) may engage in some relatively broad market rotation over the next few weeks. Also, to share that the YM (Dow Industrials) may stay relatively flat throughout this span of time.  Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is showing somewhere between 8% to 18% or more in price movement.

The fact that our ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the ES and NQ may rotate lower over the next few weeks and that the YM may not share the same levels of price volatility suggests that the Dow Industrials (35 stocks) may be viewed as a more solid economic base than the tech-heavy NASDAQ (100 symbols) and the various symbols within the S&P 500 (500 symbols).

It is suggesting that volatility may come from high multiple stocks or stocks that may reflect greater future economic weakness over the next 60+ days.  Almost as if a transition is taking place in the markets where investors are shifting capital away from risk and into value and dividend stocks.

WEEKLY S&P 500 (ES) CHART

This Weekly S&P 500 (ES) chart highlights the ADL predictive modeling results showing the ES should attempt higher price rotation this week, the week ending the month of September, then move dramatically lower over the next 5+ weeks.  Eventually, the support level above 2775 should hold as a lower price channel throughout this rotation.  By the end of October, it appears the price level of the ES will setup a base near or below 2900, then begin another rally above 3050.

WEEKLY NASDAQ (NQ) ADL CHART

This Weekly NQ ADL chart highlights the broader price rotation we expect to see in the NASDAQ.  The ADL predictive modeling system is suggesting the NQ will breakdown to levels below 7000 over the next 4+ weeks, potentially finding a bottom somewhere near 6500 sometime in early November.  This breakdown in price would suggest the high multiple technology stocks may fall our of favor with investors as earnings and operations expectations are revalued.  One thing to pay close attention to is that the ES chart appears to recover in November where the NQ chart recovery process is shown to be much lower in price level.  This suggests the NQ may contract by as much as 12% to 18%, or more, throughout this rotation and that the ES may begin a recovery before the NQ attempts to find a bottom.

DOW JONES (YM) WEEKLY ADL CHART

This YM Weekly ADL chart shows that the Dow Jones Industrial sector should stay relatively immune from the type of rotation the ADL is predicting for the ES and NQ charts. The ADL system is predicting that the YM price will attempt a moderate price rally over the next 8+ days, then move lower to near the 26,000 level.  At that point, price will rotate near the 26,000 level for about 4 to 5 weeks before attempting to really back above 27,500 again.  This rotation constitutes only a 4% to 5% price rotation where the ES and NQ price rotations appear to be 2x to 4x that amount.

CONCLUDING THOUGHTS:

When taken in total context, these ADL predictions suggest the ES and NQ will come under some extreme pricing pressures over the next 20 to 30+ days and that the NQ is the most likely to see a much deeper price correction throughout this span of time.

The ES will likely move lower throughout this expected price correction, but not as much as the NQ may fall.  The YM will likely rotate a bit lower as well, possibly below 26,000 for a brief period of time.  Yet the YM appears to be the most stable in terms of price volatility over the next 60 days and throughout this expected price rotation.

We believe this volatility is related to the Pennant/Flag formation that continues to setup within the broader markets.  This Apex event will initiate this price rotation if price starts reverse lower below support. The shift of capital away from technology/risk is a natural price rotation as the markets setup for another attempt at new highs.  The NQ may not recover to near highs before the end of 2019 based on our ADL price modeling system.  It may be that the run in technology is shifting into the hunt for value, dividends, and safety.

Find out what bull and bear funds to own as we enter the final quarter of the year. This is your chance to make back what you have lost or to close out the year with oversized returns. Visit my ETF trade alert newsletter at http://www.TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris Vermeulen