While the reality is hopefully not quite that bad, as Traders and Investors, we need to consider our silent partner, the “Taxman,” and how to minimize his cut of our profits. Having a “tax problem” can be a good “problem” to have. But we’re not obligated to pay any more in taxes than tax laws and regulations in our jurisdiction require.

As George Harrison of the Beatles famously penned…

“Let me tell you how it will be
There’s one for you, nineteen for me
‘Cause I’m the taxman
Yeah, I’m the taxman”

Are there strategies we can use to significantly reduce our tax bill, even to as low as $0? You bet!

Before we dive in, here are a few caveats…

We’re not tax advisors. You absolutely should review any taxation questions, strategies, or issues with a tax professional that is well-versed in your tax jurisdiction and familiar with your circumstances.

Much of the following pertains to those in the USA. But there’s some information here that may be useful to those outside the USA as well.

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Tax strategies can range from simple to complex. Some have rock-solid legal standing, while some of the more aggressive strategies may invite unwelcome scrutiny from tax authorities. Personally, I prefer simple strategies that are easy to maintain and not subject to “debate” with the IRS.

Lastly, laws and tax codes are subject to change. You need to continually educate yourself and have a good tax advisor to stay on top of any changes.

Traders Tax-Free Accounts

PayPal Founder Peter Thiel famously used the Roth IRA to turn a small investment in Founder’s shares into more than $5 billion tax-free. Google it. It’s a fantastic testimony to the power of the Roth IRA.

Hands-down, the Roth IRA (first created in 1997) is a simple and powerful tool for legally avoiding taxes. Why? Because any gains in the account are not taxed. Not now, not ever!

Reporting individual trades on your tax return in a Roth IRA is super simple. Why? Because none is required! Maintenance and reporting for a Roth IRA couldn’t be easier.

The tradeoff is that – like a Regular IRA – you generally cannot withdraw funds tax-free until age 59 ½. (There are ways around that with a 72t Plan, for example.) And contributions to a Roth IRA are not tax-deductible like they are with a Regular IRA.

If you have Earned Income in the United States, you should seriously consider maximizing contributions to a Roth IRA. Even if you currently don’t have Earned Income, but you have a regular IRA, there are ways to convert all or part of those funds into a Roth IRA should you choose to do so. Typically, you’d have to pay taxes on the converted funds. But once that’s done, the taxes are paid in full. This is commonly known as the “Backdoor Roth IRA,” which is also a way around the income-based annual contribution limits for a Roth.

Tax-Deferred Accounts

Second-best to the Roth IRA is a Regular IRA. Contributions are tax-deductible in the year made. Capital gains in the account are not taxed until funds are withdrawn. Distributions after age 59 ½ are taxed as regular income when they are made.

It used to be that the investment vehicles and strategies that could be used in both Regular and Roth IRAs were somewhat limited. Now there is an extensive range of asset classes and strategies permitted. For example, as an options trader, almost any defined risk strategy is permissible in either a Regular or Roth IRA at most options brokers.

Special Tax Treatment

Section 1256 contracts were created to eliminate a tax avoidance where contracts were sold near year-end to show a loss, and like-kind were repurchased in the following tax year. Section 1256 contract rules were created to require “marked-to-market” at year-end whether the contracts are sold or not.

The big side benefit of Section 1256 contracts is the 60/40 tax treatment, where 60% of gains are treated as long-term capital gains and taxed at a lower rate. The other 40% are treated as short-term capital gains and taxed as ordinary income. If you’re trading in a taxable account, it can be very beneficial to choose Section 1256 contracts where those happen to fit into your strategy. Section 1256 contracts include futures, options on futures, and certain indexes like SPX and VIX and options on those indexes. Be sure to verify Section 1256 treatment and report with your broker and tax advisor.

State Taxes

An additional layer of the tax burden is at the state level. One way to avoid that is to live in one of the states with no income tax for individuals. These are Alaska, Florida, Nevada, South Dakota, Tennessee, Texas, Washington, and Wyoming. You generally must file a federal tax return in those states.

Keep in mind that the “tax-free” states tend to have higher excise, sales, and property taxes. You should consider your overall tax burden and affordability ranking if you’re thinking about moving to one of those states.

Some traders live in multiple states and claim their “residency” in a tax-free state. That can get a little tricky as rules and enforcement will vary. You’ll need to keep good records of your time spent in the tax-free state and be sure to comply with all regulations for both states.

Tax Splitting

Regardless of where you live, it can be possible, legal, and common to create a separate entity, such as a C Corporation, that is domiciled in a tax-free state such as Nevada. Instead of capital gains bumping you into a higher marginal tax bracket as an individual, you could “tax split” and have the entity pay taxes on its gains at a lower Federal level and with no state taxes due. Typically, there are tax implications in your home state if you take income out of the entity for your use as an individual. But be aware that you can create and control a separate entity from yourself that has its own P/L for taxation purposes and that can reduce the overall tax burden.

Summary

Roth IRA.  If it’s available to you, think about maximizing it.  Outside of that, consider tax-deferred accounts, Section 1256, income splitting, and tax-free residency strategies as may be advantageous to your situation.

Now That You Know About Lessening Your Tax Burden, Read On To Learn More About Options Trading

Every day on Options Trading Signals, we do defined risk trades that protect us from black swan events 24/7. Many may think that is what stop losses are for. Well, remember the markets are only open about 1/3 of the hours in a day. Therefore, a stop loss only protects you for 1/3 of each day. Stocks can gap up or down. With options, you are always protected because we do defined risk in a spread. We cover with multiple legs, which are always on once you own.   

If you are new to trading or have been trading stock but are interested in options, you can find more information at The Technical Traders – Options Trading Signals Service. The head Options Trading Specialist Brian Benson, who has been trading options for almost 20 years, sends out real live trade alerts on actual trades, such as TSLA and NVDA, with real money. Ready to subscribe, click here:  TheTechnicalTraders.com.

Enjoy your day!

Chris Vermeulen
Founder & Chief Market Strategist
TheTechnicalTraders.com

Chris sits down with Craig Hemke of Sprott Money to talk about their Precious Metals forecast and break down interest rates and oil charts. As we start the year, commodity and energy prices are roaring to life. It’s the perfect time to look at the charts and see if precious metals are about to break out or are just scratching the surface.

Looking at the monthly chart of Silver, it is at a multi-year base just like gold or miners and is trading in a tight range. The daily chart gives us a better view showing that we are getting close to wanting to break and run to the upside.

Based on the shorter-term charts, we are starting to see precious metals come to life. From a long-term standpoint, we are still trading sideways. We are likely very close to seeing metals and miners become a leading sector.

SEE LATEST PRECIOUS METALS forecast

Precious Metals Forecast

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Disclaimer: None of this material is meant to be construed as investment advice. It is for education and entertainment purposes only. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.

Using the daily charts, Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders talks about XBIthe S&P 500 Biotech Sector. Looking at the recent price actions from the 2021 highs, XBI is down roughly about 50%. From a longer standpoint, you can see the Biotech Sector ETF had a very nice rally, a bull flag, and ended up having the second half of the move to the upside.

Overall, Biotech is setting up daily and 30-minute chart patterns that point to pop and rally of 8 – 15% in the next 1-2 weeks.

LEARN MORE ABOUT THE BIOTECH SECTOR ETF XBI– WATCH THE VIDEO

Subscribers: Please let us know what you would like to learn and we will add it to the roster of our weekly Technical Trader Tips!

Non-subscribers: Please enjoy these micro-lessons as a way to further your education and understanding of how a technical trader…well…trades!

TO EXPLORE THE Total ETF Portfolio, PLEASE VISIT US AT The technical traders. You’vE GOT MORE TO GAIN THAN TO LOSE WHEN SEEKING INFORMATION!

Disclaimer: None of this material is meant to be construed as investment advice. It is for education and entertainment purposes only. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.

Discussing Precious Metals’ latest bounce and rally and recent trends in the stock market are Chris Vermeulen, founder of The Technical Traders, and Kerry Lutz from the  Financial Survivor Network.

The markets had a relatively large correction and huge sell-off in the SPY 500 in the last couple of weeks. Panic took hold, and the VIX spiked. From the low to the high, we swung 4-5% on a daily basis. With the recent bullish news from the Fed, we are starting to see this turnaround. Is this a bounce or a rally or perhaps a knee-jerk reaction? As positive news hits the wires, money flows back into the market, buying the dip in the lucrative speculative stocks. Having said this, the market is still showing signs of fatigue, so be careful of the news-based one-day bounce. As technical analysts, we watch the charts, not the news.

Fear often results in traders liquidating their stock holdings, causing gold, silver, and their miners to be pulled down as well. Recently the precious metal sector charts show higher highs and lower lows, meaning that they are chopping around all over the place. The hope is that precious metals are putting in a base while gearing up for a swing to the upside.

On the other hand, Oil has gone through a series of rallies and controlled pullbacks or pauses. The charts indicate a running correction to the upside. With world events, supply chain issues, and so on, will we hit the $100 mark? And if we do, what could this mean for the stock market?

Chris and Kerry continue their discussion by delving into the US Dollar, Natural Gas, Rates, Bonds, and Commodities.

TO LEARN MORE ABOUT THE LATEST BOUNCE AND RALLY OF THE STOCK MARKET – WATCH THE VIDEO

TO EXPLORE THE Total ETF Portfolio, PLEASE VISIT US AT The technical traders. You’vE GOT MORE TO GAIN THAN TO LOSE WHEN SEEKING INFORMATION!

Disclaimer: None of this material is meant to be construed as investment advice. It is for education and entertainment purposes only. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.

Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders joins Elijah K Johnson from Liberty and Finance to talk about the most recent price actions and Precious Metals in general. It’s been a pretty wild roller coaster for Precious Metals, which have been under pressure for a long time. From a short-term standpoint, the stock market is very oversold. From a long-term standpoint, this is nothing more than a pullback within a major bull market.

Overall, we could be heading into a “sell everything” moment when markets across the board correct sharply. How investors may want to prepare for such an occurrence is a question many are now facing.

TO LEARN MORE ABOUT THE MARKETS AND PRECIOUS METALS – WATCH THE VIDEO

TO EXPLORE THE Total ETF Portfolio, PLEASE VISIT US AT The technical traders. You’vE GOT MORE TO GAIN THAN TO LOSE WHEN SEEKING INFORMATION!

Disclaimer: None of this material is meant to be construed as investment advice. It is for education and entertainment purposes only. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.

Taking into account the Fed comments from last week, recently one of our technical analysts forecasted a correct S&P Index price range of $4348 to $4261. The market has since corrected to that level and is now bouncing.

With that said, investors have been panicking with the SPY ETF having an average outflow of more than $1 billion per day over the past ten days.

S&P 500 Index Panic Selling Wave – Daily Chart

Nasdaq Analysis Shows 30% of Stocks Trading At 52-Week Lows

Over the past twenty-five years, you can see the new 52-week lows on the Nasdaq. This may look like a buy signal and quick spike on the chart, but remember, the chart below is a condensed 25-year view. Some of these spikes can last several weeks, and the stock market can keep falling.

From a technical standpoint, stocks, in general, are oversold and are starting to bounce. The question we are all asking ourselves:

“Is this a bounce before lower prices, or the start of a rally?”

Only time will tell, so we wait, watch, and analyze what the market internals and money flow tell us. Over time we will know better and have a new confirmed trend to trade.

U.S. Treasury yields rose as the FED issued its update

FED Chair Powell confirmed last Wednesday that it’s on track to raise interest rates. This dialogue continues to increase risks that will impact the US stock market. In the month of March rate hikes will be implemented.

The FED has stepped in to save falling markets in the past, but this time will be different?

The FEDS rate hikes will play their own part in reducing economic growth. This year, it does not need to be catastrophic to the stock market’s performance.

Energy stocks spent the decade of 2010 to 2020 mired in weakness, but that trend is coming to an end. Crude oil has reached a seven-year high. Russia and COVID pressuring global oil supplies is one main reason why this is occurring.

What to buy in a post-interest rate hike world?

Regardless of how many times the central bank hikes rates in 2022, there are places, stocks, and sectors from which you will be able to keep profiting. Inflation is part of the reason rates are rising in the first place. Also, the indices have prepared for higher interest rates soon. It’s possible that it may have already been priced into the market.

Trader Tip – What Stocks to Buy Next?

The expensive growth technology stocks are hit disproportionately hard by rising interest rates. Their business models are trading profitability for the promise of higher profits tomorrow. These higher interest rates reduce the present-day value of those future profits.

On the other hand, value stocks tend to outperform in a rising-rate environment – especially if economic growth is on the rise. The FED plans to complete its bond-buying program in March and to let bonds mature as a preferred method of reducing its balance sheet over time. The timing and pace of balance sheet reduction were not explicit in their speech.

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Bank stocks also perform favorably in times of rising hikes. Rate hikes are particularly positive for the financial sector. So, the new trend to benefit from is from value stocks once the stock market turns favorable again to own equities.

Sentiment Reaches Severe Bearish Level

The chart below is the AAII Sentiment Survey. It reflects market participants are now extremely negative (bearish), the highest in 16-months. Similarly, bullish sentiment fell to an 18-month low. This widely followed measure of the mood of individual investors is an interesting contrarian indicator that suggests we may be closing into the end of the current market correction.

Concluding Thoughts:

The analysis of the broad stock market shows signs of instability and weakness from a long-term investor’s point of view. The near term indicates a short-term bottom has been put in place, and higher prices are likely over the next week or two.

What Trading Strategies Will Help You To Navigate Current Market Trends?

Learn how I use specific tools to help me understand price cycles, set-ups, and price target levels in various sectors to identify strategic entry and exit points for trades. Over the next 12 to 24+ months, I expect very large price swings in the US stock market and other asset classes across the globe. I believe the markets are starting to transition away from the continued central bank support rally phase and may start a revaluation phase as global traders attempt to identify the next big trends. Precious Metals will likely start to act as a proper hedge as caution and concern start to drive traders/investors into Metals.

I invite you to learn more about how my three Technical Trading Strategies can help you protect and grow your wealth in any type of market condition by clicking the following link:   www.TheTechnicalTraders.com 

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist
Founder of TheTechnicalTraders.com

Using the daily charts, Chris Vermeulen of The Technical Traders talks about the Carbon ETF KRBN. This ETF has been holding up exceptionally well during the recent market selloff and is, in fact, rallying very strongly in a pennant formation. If we look at the most recent rally, using Fibonacci extension we can get an idea of where this carbon ETF will potentially explode and rally to.

KRBN is a pretty interesting ETF that Chris is keeping his eyes on as this market continues to unfold and rally up as one of the leading sectors going forward.

TO LEARN MORE ABOUT THE CARBON ETF KRBN – WATCH THE VIDEO

Subscribers: Please let us know what you would like to learn and we will add it to the roster of our weekly Technical Trader Tips!

Non-subscribers: Please enjoy these micro-lessons as a way to further your education and understanding of how a technical trader…well…trades!

TO EXPLORE THE Total ETF Portfolio, PLEASE VISIT US AT The technical traders. You’vE GOT MORE TO GAIN THAN TO LOSE WHEN SEEKING INFORMATION!

Disclaimer: None of this material is meant to be construed as investment advice. It is for education and entertainment purposes only. The video is accurate as of the posting date but may not be accurate in the future.

The recent Fed comments should have helped settle the global market expectations related to if and when the Fed will start raising rates and/or taking further steps to curb inflation trends. Additionally, the Fed has been telegraphing its intentions very clearly over the past few months, providing ample time for traders and investors to alter their approach to pending monetary tightening actions. Read the full Fed Statement here.

In my opinion, foreign markets are more likely to see increased risks and declining price trends for two reasons. First, at-risk nations/borrowers struggle to reduce debt levels. Second, foreign market traders/investors struggle to adapt to the transition away from speculative “growth” trends. I think the US Dollar may continue to show strength over the next 4+ months as the foreign traders pile into US economic strength while the Fed initiates their tightening actions. So it makes sense to me that global markets would recoil from Fed tightening while debt-heavy corporations/nations seek relief from rising debt obligations.

Foreign Markets Struggle For Support Before US Fed Monetary Tightening

In a continuing downward slide, global market equity indexes continue to move lower after the US Fed comments this week. In this article, I wrote about this dynamic on August 3, 2021: US Markets Stall Near End Of July As Global Markets Retreat – Are We Ready For An August Surprise? At that time, I suggested the US markets were stalling while the global markets continued to decline.

Now, nearly five months later, we’ve seen the US market trend moderately higher, attempting to struggle to new highs and exhibit deep downward price trends, while the global markets have continued to trend lower. As we move closer to the US Fed pushing interest rates higher, I expect these trends to become even more volatile and pronounced.

US Equities May Find Support After The Fed Raises Rates

The current dynamic in the global markets is that capital is seeking investments where safety and profitable returns dominate over risks. As the global markets transition ahead of the Fed rate increases, I believe the US markets will continue to dominate global assets in opportunities, safety, and returns. Once the Fed starts to raise interest rates, a brief period of volatility throughout the global markets may occur. Still, that volatility should quickly settle as traders chase a stronger US Dollar, US Dollar-based Dividends, and a potential “melt-up” of the US Equity market (particularly the Dow Jones, S&P500, and possibly the Russell 2000).

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Unless the US Fed takes very aggressive action in raising rates too quickly, I believe, at least initially, the US equity markets will continue to benefit from perceived strengths compared to many global equities/indexes.

This means there will be many opportunities for traders and investors in 2022 and 2023 – we have to be patient in waiting for the chance to profit from these big trends. Jumping ahead of this volatility could be dangerous if you are on the wrong side of the price trend. Instead, wait for the right opportunities while you protect your capital from extreme risks. Let the markets tell you when opportunities are perfect – don’t try to force a trade to happen.

On December 28, 2021, I published this research article showing how my Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) Predictive Modeling system expects price to trend in 2022 and early 2023: Predictive Modeling Suggests 710 Rally In SPY And QQQ Before April 2022. I strongly suggest taking a look at the recent downside price trends in relation to the lower range of the ADL Predictive Modeling expectations. If my ADL Predictive Modeling system is accurate, we may see a relatively strong recovery in the US stock market throughout the rest of 2022 and beyond.

Strategies To Help You Protect And Grow Your Wealth

Learn how I use specific tools to help me understand price cycles, set-ups, and price target levels in various sectors to identify strategic entry and exit points for trades. Over the next 12 to 24+ months, I expect very large price swings in the US stock market and other asset classes across the globe. I believe the markets are starting to transition away from the continued central bank support rally phase and may start a revaluation phase as global traders attempt to identify the next big trends. Precious Metals will likely start to act as a proper hedge as caution and concern start to drive traders/investors into Metals.

I invite you to learn more about how my three Technical Trading Strategies can help you protect and grow your wealth in any type of market condition by clicking the following link:   www.TheTechnicalTraders.com 

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist
Founder of TheTechnicalTraders.com

Recent volatility in the US markets ahead of the Fed comments/actions have prompted a relatively big pullback in almost every sector. Many traders are concerned the Fed may take immediate action to raise rates. Yet, a small portion of traders believes the Fed may be trapped in a position to act more conservatively in addressing inflation going forward. I think the Fed will continue to talk firmly about potentially raising rates. The Fed is more interested in decreasing the assets on their balance sheet before they risk doing anything to disrupt support for the global markets.

Suppose my analysis of the Fed predicament is correct. In that case, the recent collapse of the US markets represents a fear-based emotional selloff of many sectors that may still represent a strong opportunity for a recovery rally in 2022. One of those sectors is the Financial sector – particularly XLF.

I wrote about this on January 7, 2022, in this article: FINANCIAL SECTOR STARTS TO RALLY TOWARDS THE $43.60 UPSIDE TARGET

I also wrote how the US Fed might be playing with fire regarding their stern positioning and statements recently in this article on January 14, 2022: US FEDERAL RESERVE – PLAYING WITH FIRE PART 2

Critical Components Of Recent Inflationary Trends

If you attempt to follow my logic as I read into the Fed’s intentions. There are three critical components to navigating the rise of inflationary trends recently.

  • The COVID-19 virus event created several disparities in the global markets. First, the disruption to the labor and supply-side markets began an almost immediate inflationary aspect for the global economy. Secondly, the US’s stimulus and easy money policies have stimulated demand for products, technology, houses, autos, and other real assets. These two factors combined have increased inflationary pressures on the global markets.
  • Rising consumer demand for real and virtual assets such as Cryptos, NFTs, and others has pushed the speculative investing cycle into a hyper-active rally phase. This was clearly witnessed in early 2021, with the Reddit/Meme rallies became the hottest trades, then quickly dissipated after July 2021. This speculative rally has pushed the post-COVID rally well beyond reasonable expectations over the past 16+ months.
  • Excessive debt levels push a deflationary process to the forefront. Consumers are now starting to pull away from the excesses of the past 16+ months. The Fed’s tough talk and recent deeper declines in various sectors over the past 12+ months show that inflationary trends are subsiding. Despite the supply-side issues being resolved, consumers continue to pull away from hyper-speculative activities. The markets will naturally revalue to support more realistic price levels, deflating excessive P/E ratios and recent extreme price peaks in assets.

Possible Next Steps for the US Fed

My interpretation of the global markets is that excess speculative trending and rising commodity prices, combined with excess debt levels and consumers who have suddenly become very aware of global market risks, are already acting as a deflationary process. Because of these underlying factors, which I believe are currently in play throughout the globe, the US Federal Reserve may be forced to wait things out a bit. The Fed may have to navigate these natural deflationary processes while attempting to provide monetary support for what I believe will be a downside/deflationary trend over the next 3+ years.

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The US Federal Reserve may not have to take any aggressive action right now. Instead, it may decide to watch how the global markets contract as consumers pull away from inflated price levels and higher risks and attempt to navigate these natural deflationary price trends. If the Fed were to act aggressively right now and raise rates, they could push the global markets into a steeper collapse. This process would likely burst numerous asset bubbles very quickly and push many foreign nations into some type of debt default.

This presents a new problem for the US Fed – going from inflationary concerns to global economic collapse concerns very quickly. So when I suggested the Fed is playing with fire – maybe I should have said “playing with the nuclear economic football”?

Financial Sector Resilience

Still, I believe the US Financial sector is showing tremendous resilience near $37.50. I think it has a powerful opportunity to rally back above $42 to $44 if the Fed takes a more measured approach to let the global markets deflate a bit before taking any aggressive actions.

The US Financial sector will likely continue to benefit from price volatility and consumer demand as these deflationary trends prompt consumers to engage in more normal economic activities. The Financial sector also has continued to stay under moderate pricing pressure since the 2008 highs. XLF is only 25.46% higher than the 2008 highs, whereas the NASDAQ is more than 575% above the 2008 market highs.

The Financial Sector may be one of the strongest market sectors over the next few years. Deflationary trends push consumers and global markets away from excess debt levels and towards more traditional economic activities/trends.

Want To Learn More About Financial Sector ETFs?

Learn how I use specific tools to help me understand price cycles, set-ups, and price target levels in various sectors to identify strategic entry and exit points for trades. Over the next 12 to 24+ months, I expect very large price swings in the US stock market and other asset classes across the globe. I believe the markets are starting to transition away from the continued central bank support rally phase and may start a revaluation phase as global traders attempt to identify the next big trends. Precious Metals will likely start to act as a proper hedge as caution and concern start to drive traders/investors into Metals.

I invite you to learn more about how my three Technical Trading Strategies can help you protect and grow your wealth in any type of market condition by clicking the following link:   www.TheTechnicalTraders.com 

Chris Vermeulen
Chief Market Strategist
Founder of TheTechnicalTraders.com

Many companies regularly distribute a portion of their profits in the form of a dividend to attract investors and incentivize them to remain long-term shareholders. But most companies, ETFs, and commodities don’t pay a dividend at all. When there’s no dividend, the only opportunity for income or a profit comes from a capital gain (or loss) from selling the position.

Wouldn’t it be nice to get regular payouts from “no dividend” investments? As a dividend, these payouts could be used for income. Or, if left invested, our cost-basis could be further reduced with every payout.

A Commodity ETF Example

While the strategy presented here can work on any stock or ETF that has options, it works best with relatively lower-priced products under about $25. A commodity ETF such as SLV – currently trading around $22 a share — is an ideal candidate.

Like gold, silver has historically been used as a physical store of wealth and a hedge against inflation. But long-term charts on gold and silver show that these products often go sideways for a long time before having a significant move. Historically such investments have required buying, holding, and waiting – sometimes for a very long time.

One way to compensate for the lack of a dividend on silver is to purchase shares of SLV and write Call options against those shares.  This is a relatively simple options strategy of writing “Covered Calls”.   

Two Ways to Open the Trade

We want to buy low and sell high by purchasing shares on weakness and selling Calls on strength. We can also sell Puts on weakness as an alternative to purchasing shares. The Profit and Loss graph of selling a Put is the same as for selling a Covered Call.

If we sell Puts, we’ll likely have shares “Put” to us at some point and will then own the shares at the strike price we sold minus the premiums collected. Having shares put to us at a reduced cost basis is part of the plan. When we sell an Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Put, we’re methodically nudging the statistics in our favor by “buying low” when there is a pull-back in the underlying. We can alternately think of selling a Put as a Limit Order to buy shares with the limit price equal to the strike price we sold.

When shares are “Put” to us, we then sell Calls against the shares we now own. And the cost (or basis) of the shares we purchased will have been reduced by the cumulative option premium collected by selling Puts.

Trade Management

We may not have a great opportunity to sell option premium in every possible cycle. There will likely be times where the underlying will be in a pullback, and we may want to wait for the price to recover before selling Calls. Actual expiration cycle outcomes are likely to be a mix of having Calls expire worthless in some cycles and having shares called away in other cycles.

Writing Covered Calls is a relatively low-maintenance strategy that doesn’t have to be watched continuously. Once we write Calls, the shares will either be called away or not. But we do have to be patient and let time decay in the options we sold work for us.

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If the Calls we sold expire worthless, we still own the shares. In this case, we sell Calls again for some future expiration cycle and collect more option premium.

If our Calls expire In-the-Money (ITM), the Calls will be exercised, and the shares will be called away. The shares are purchased by our counterparty at the strike price we sold, and we no longer own the shares. As the Call seller, we keep the premium and any gain on the shares. In this case, we start the process again by buying shares or selling Puts.

Upside and Downside Risks

Writing Covered Calls (and selling Puts) is a neutral to bullish strategy. There can be sustained downtrends, price shocks, and changes in volatility that can affect strategy performance. As with any strategy, it’s important to ask and understand “What could possibly go wrong?” before getting involved.

There’s always a tradeoff when selling Covered Calls. In exchange for collecting option premium, profit is limited to the amount of premium collected plus any appreciation in shares up to the strike price. For that reason, I tend to sell Out-of-the-Money (OTM) Calls.

Keeping probability in our favor and letting time decay work for us are benefits of selling a Covered Call (or Put). As option sellers, we don’t need large up moves to make a profit. We have the statistical odds in our favor and option time decay working for us. The underlying share price can go up, sideways, or even down a bit, and we can still profit. The “Synthetic Dividend” is one of my favorite ways to generate repeatable profits.

What Else Is There To Know About Options Trading?

Every day on Options Trading Signals, we do defined risk trades that protect us from black swan events 24/7. Many may think that is what stop losses are for. Well, remember the markets are only open about 1/3 of the hours in a day. Therefore, a stop loss only protects you for 1/3 of each day. Stocks can gap up or down. With options, you are always protected because we do defined risk in a spread. We cover with multiple legs, which are always on once you own.   

If you are new to trading or have been trading stock but are interested in options, you can find more information at The Technical Traders – Options Trading Signals Service. The head Options Trading Specialist Brian Benson, who has been trading options for almost 20 years, sends out real live trade alerts on actual trades, such as TSLA and NVDA, with real money. Ready to subscribe, click here:  TheTechnicalTraders.com.

Enjoy your day!

Chris Vermeulen
Founder & Chief Market Strategist
TheTechnicalTraders.com