Archive for year: 2019

If you have been following some of the research posts by some of the biggest names in the precious metals industry, you may understand “why” so many people are so excited about the opportunities in Gold and Silver recently.  There are so many facets to the fundamental and emotional functions of precious metals as an industrial commodity as well as a safe-haven investment to protect against risk and to hedge against inflation.  Old school traders were taught to “watch gold, oil, and bonds” for signs of concern, weakness and as a means of gauging total market sentiment.  The idea behind this statement was these market tend to act as the “canary in the coal mine” in terms of fear and risk.

Recently, we posted an article that suggested Gold, Silver and many other precious metals would move in unison as this new price expansion takes place.  Many of our modeling systems are suggesting that Gold will rocket well above $1400 sometime near May or June of 2019.  These predictive modeling tools help us to identify opportunities and price moves well ahead of the other research firms available today.  Our unique tools can actually pinpoint times/dates when breakout moves should take place and allow traders to prepare for these moves months in advance – like today.

Within this article, we are attempting to highlight the fact that any lower price rotation in Gold or Silver would be an excellent opportunity for skilled investors to target new positions or to acquire more physical material.  We believe Gold and Silver will continue to rotate near current price levels over the next 30~60+ days while setting up a moderate range of rotation.  Buying near the lower range of this rotation will allow traders to set up advantageous long positions ahead of the suggested breakout dates and really capitalize on any upside advance.  Let’s go over some of our expectations as we prepare for this next move higher.

First, our TT Charger system on this Monthly chart shows that the core price support/resistance range, the CYAN, and RED narrow price channel, is currently just below $1300 and moving slightly lower.  This is important because this longer-term chart is reacting to the price peak from 2012 and this price channel is currently providing a resistance zone that we expect the price to break above in a very aggressive manner.  You can also see the BLUE DIAMONDS that represent current bullish price trend.  Since early 2016, the TT Charger modeling system has identified Gold as being in a bullish price trend.

This next Monthly Gold chart is strictly price action.  Our belief is that the resistance zone, highlighted in YELLOW, will act as a horizontal price channel over the next 30~60 days as price continues to build support and momentum for the upside breakout.  This suggests that any price level below $1240 would provide an excellent buying opportunity for skilled traders that believe as we do.  The future price rotation should continue to tighten as we near the May/June breakout date – thus, we may only have a few of these deeper low price rotation ahead.

Lastly, this Monthly Gold chart highlights our expectations of a FLAG FORMATION breakout and how we believe the price will meander a bit higher, closer to the $1325 level, before the big breakout to the upside happens.  You can see from the WHITE lines drawn on this chart that potential for price rotation nearing $1200 exists, yet we are not expecting any deeper price rotation over the next 2~3 months.  We believe any move below $1240 would be considered a fairly deep price low and present a clear opportunity for skilled traders.

We believe Gold prices will continue to congest closer to the $1300~1320 level as we get closer to the breakout dates.  Therefore, we suggest traders pay attention to price rotation as it plays out in the future for real setups and opportunities in the precious metals.  The large GREEN arrow showing a potential breakout towards the $1700 level is our estimate of this potential upside move.  Our predictive modeling systems are suggesting a minimum of $1550 will be reached by September 2019.  Thus, we are expecting a $1600~1700 initial price advance through this upside move that would start a WAVE C price advance.

We urge all traders to pay very close attention to these moves in the precious metals.  These are incredible opportunities that are setting up right before our eyes.  If you understand what this move means for the global markets and for equity markets, then we know you value our research.  If you want to stay aware of these types of moves and learn how our predictive modeling tools can help you find and execute better trades, then take a minute to visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn what we offer our clients.  Trust us, you really want to have a skilled team of researchers helping you understand how to prepare for this move.

Chris Vermeulen

For those that still believe the US markets are weak and poised for a total collapse, we want to bring something to your attention. Throughout weeks of uncertainty about China trade deals, the US government shutdown, continued Brexit issues and who knows what else… oh yeah US Q4 Earnings data, guess what has been taking place in some US sectors? That’s right, a rather solid price recovery.

Two of our favorite sectors to watch for signs of strength and weakness have been rocketing higher over the past few weeks after setting up a very deep price low near Christmas 2018. The Russell 2000 ETF (IWM) and the Financial Sector ETF (XLF). While the ES, NQ, and others are still waffling around trying to find the momentum to break out to the upside, pay attention to the other sectors that could be leading the way.

Weekly IWM (Russell 2000) Chart

This first Weekly IWM (Russell 2000) chart clearly shows the support zone that was set up in early 2018 after the February 2018 price collapse. Yes, the recent October 2018 price collapse drove price below that support level, but it appears this is a “wash-out” low price reversal where traders panicked on the news and other events. The fact that this recovery has taken place may cause some to consider this a “dead-cat-bounce”, but we’re not seeing that in our research. This could/should be the start of something that pushes prices sideways/higher for a few months, at which time we will need to see to these sectors and the rest of the markets are performing to determine if the overall market is still I a bull market or about to drop into its first bear market leg down.

Weekly XLF (Financial Sector) Chart

This next chart is a Weekly XLF (Financial Sector) ETF showing our Fibonacci price modeling system and a similar Support Zone. One thing that is rather interesting about these charts is that they are both moving substantially higher this week while recently breaking above our Fibonacci bullish trigger level (shown near the right side of the chart as a GREEN LINE). The XLF chart also shows that the current price is well above the BLUE and CYAN Fibonacci projected target levels. This indicates that price may be attempting to move back into the earlier Fibonacci price range (retracement range) to establish more rotation. This new price rotation will set up new Fibonacci modeling system trigger points and tell us where the next move is likely to target.

Yes, we do expect some downside rotation near current levels. We don’t expect this rotation to be very deep or concerning. Price must move in waves, up and down, to support future momentum higher or lower. Our Fibonacci modeling system is suggesting any current downside rotation will likely result in a new momentum move to the upside. Still, these sectors are on fire right now and we urge traders to be cautious of any longs because we are expecting some downside price rotation over the next week or two before the next rally.

Pay attention to these markets moves.  2019 is poised to be a very exciting and profitable year for skilled traders and wise investors. Visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to get our daily and weekly analysis forecast complete with long term investing swing trading, and index day trade signals.

53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our index, stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen

Near December 21, 2018, our research team began a series of posts indicating the US Major Indexes should be set up for the “Ultimate Bottom” low that we suggested would take place after the US Elections (November 2018) and which would launch an upside price rally.  Today, we are writing to announce that the first leg of this upside move appears to be nearly completed.

It is critical to mention here that as of only a day go the short-term market trend from a technical standpoint has turned up. So, getting long before this point would be trying to catch a bottom which is tough and risky to do. The good news is that we are expecting a second leg higher after we get some rotation to the downside.

Using our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system, we can see that the current prices of the ES and NQ are very near to the immediate Fibonacci Price Target Zone.  You will see from the following charts that both the ES and NQ are already within this zone and/or very near to what we believe will be immediate resistance.  This means we should expect a bit of price rotation near these levels before another upside leg takes place driving prices higher.

This first Daily ES chart shows the Fibonacci Target Zone clearly in Green.  You can see how price has rallied up to near this level and may even rally a bit further before rotating downward a bit.  Remember, price rotation in a trend is very healthy for normal markets.  When price moves extensively in one direction or another is somewhat unhealthy and dangerous.  When price moves up or down in rotating waves or price cycles, this is a very healthy means for the price to establish support/resistance and to wash out groups of traders that may be biased in the markets.

This Daily NQ chart shows a very similar, although more narrow, Fibonacci Target Zone.  The result is virtually the same as the ES chart.  Price should attempt to establish some resistance within this zone and the potential for a downside price rotation increases near this level.  We are expecting a downward price move, possibly toward the BLUE Fibonacci downside target square level, before the price rally resumes to drive prices above recent highs and into the next leg higher.

If you have followed our analysis, on September 17, 2018, we predicted 4~5 months into the future what would likely happen.  Our call for an “Ultimate Low” price reversal after the Nov 2018 elections appears to be setting up perfectly.  Although we did not predict this extreme low price level in that research post, the overall expectations we had in September were nearly perfect.

If the remainder of our analysis continues to play out as accurately, we should be setting up for a very big move to the upside over the next couple of months.  It will likely be paired with decent earnings data from the US, moderately strong economic data and the resulting economic improvements of a China Trade Deal and the resolution to the US Government Shutdown.  The issues in Europe are set to reach a peak somewhere near March or April 2018.  We expect the US markets to be trading several percents higher by that time.

Pay attention to these markets moves.  2019 is poised to be a very exciting and profitable year for skilled traders and wise investors.  Visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to get our daily and weekly analysis forecast complete with long term investing swing trading, and index day trade signals.

53 years experience in researching and trading makes analyzing the complex and ever-changing financial markets a natural process. We have a simple and highly effective way to provide our customers with the most convenient, accurate, and timely market forecasts available today. Our index, stock and ETF trading alerts are readily available through our exclusive membership service via email and SMS text. Our newsletter, Technical Trading Mastery book, and 3 Hour Trading Video Course are designed for both traders and investors. Also, some of our strategies have been fully automated for the ultimate trading experience.

Chris Vermeulen