Metals are setting up for that “Rip Your Face Off Rally”.  The following charts for Gold and Silver show a very interesting setup that is unfolding as the US markets continue to strengthen – that being that the Metals are showing strength in price and we can only assume this is related to some level of FEAR in the markets or expectations that the “Equities and Bitcoin Bubbles” are nearing an end.

Gold and Silver have been one of our primary focuses for years.  We warned of the “Rip Your Face Off” rally near the Third Quarter 2017 as our cycle analysis was bottoming in December.

The recent rally in Gold has been substantial and has managed to breach recent resistance levels near $1300~1310.  At this point, we are expecting a moderate pullback in Gold over the next few weeks to levels likely near or below the $1300 level before the next leg advances well above $1380.  The presumed formation of Wave 3, if our analysis is correct, should prompt a massive move in the metals over the next 3~7 months with a number of pullbacks along the way.  Right now, it all depends on how Gold reacts to the recent highs and how deep the next retracement in price is. We could see a $1270~1300 level price pullback before the next leg higher executes.  This would be the best entry zone for both traders and long-term investors.

Silver is the “forgotten shiny metal” by many.  As we have been warning our readers, this next move in the Metals market should be a massive Wave 3 (or completed Wave 5 that will prompt a Wave B correction).  Either way, this next move could end substantially higher than where current prices have been consolidating.  Because of the expected continued rally in the US equities markets and because of the strong growth in the economic fundamentals, we believe the next contraction phase in the Metals will be a very opportunistic BUY ENTRY ZONE for traders.

Silver, which has not shown the volatility or price activity that Gold has recently shown, is one of those markets that many people forget about.  Yet, Silver has so much more opportunity for massive price gains as related to the setups that are currently playing out in the US and global markets.  As fear builds and global markets react to the Everything Bubble, Crypto volatility, Global Market Concerns and Global Political Concerns, the Metals are certainly going to be an interesting and opportunistic play for traders.

As you can see from this Silver Weekly chart, the setup in Silver is similar to the Gold chart, yet the price activity in Silver is very much more muted in volatility than Gold.  We believe that Silver, when the move happens, will show substantial price acceleration to the upside while Gold continues to rally.

 

2018 is setting up to be a very good year for BOTH traders and long-term investors as the opportunities for skilled and strategic trades is astounding.  Visit our website to learn more about the markets and to receive our daily updated market predictions and trade alerts.

Watch our recent video report analysis just posted live showing our predictive modeling systems and how we target our research to helping our members make money. Once you see for yourself how our analysis is accurate and timely.

We urge you to subscribe to www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to support our work and to benefit from our trade setups.  We believe 2018 – 2020 will be the years that strategic trades will outperform all other markets.  Join us in our efforts to find and execute the best trading opportunities and profit from these fantastic setups.

 

Chris Vermeulen

Bio: Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and author of the book: Technical Trading Mastery – 7 Steps to Win With Logic, and helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better. His mission is to help his clients boost their performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

After Nine Positive Years, Many Traders Not Ready for Equities Market Down Turn

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Tuesday morning in our video forecast we warned that cycles were pointing to lower prices today. With price reaching the 2800 level on the SPX (resistance) and stocks trading in extreme overbought conditions with the morning gap higher this pullback has played out almost perfectly today.

We do expect more selling into tomorrow based on cycles and sentiment. Let’s see what the markets do through overnight trading as we could get a new entry signal this week.

See the chart below for a visual:

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Our research has been “spot on” with regards to the markets for the first few weeks of 2018.  We issued our first trade on Jan 2nd, plus two very detailed research reports near the end of 2017 and early 2018.  We urge you to review these research posts as they tell you exactly what to expect for the first Quarter in 2018.

 

Continuing this research, we have focused our current effort on the Transportation Index, the US Majors, and the Metals Markets.  The Transportation Index has seen an extensive rally (+19.85%) originating near November 2017.  This incredible upside move correlates with renewed US Tax policies and Economic increases that are sure to drive the US Equity market higher throughout 2018.

 

In theory, the Transportation Index is a measure of economic activity as related to the transportation of goods from port to distribution centers and from distribution centers to retail centers.  The recent jump in the Transportation Index foretells of strong economic activity within the US for at least the next 3 months.

 

One could, and likely should watch the Transportation Index for any signs of weakness or contraction which would indicate an economic slowdown about to unfold.  In order to better understand how the Transportation Index precedes the US Equity markets by 2~5 months, let’s compare the current price activity to that of 2007~08.

 

This first chart is the current Transportation Index and shows how strong the US economic recovery is in relation to the previous year (2017).  As the US economy has continued to strengthen and open up new opportunities, the Transportation Index has related this strength by increasing by near +20% in only a few short months.  This shows us that we should continue to expect a moderate to strong bullish bias for at least the first quarter of 2018 – unless something dramatic changes in relation to economic opportunities.

 

CURRENT TRANSPORTATION INDEX CHART

 

In comparison, this chart (below) is the Transportation Index in 2007~08 which reacted quite differently.  The economic environment was vastly different at this time.  The US Fed had raised rates consecutively over a two year period leading up to a massive debt/credit crisis.  At the same time, the US had a Presidential Election cycle that saw massive uncertainty with regards to regulation, policies and economic opportunities.  Delinquencies as related to debt had already started to climb and the markets reacted to the economic alarms ringing from all corners of the globe.  The Transportation Index formed a classic “rollover top” formation in late 2007 and early 2008 well before the global markets really began to tank.

 

2007~08 TRANSPORTATION INDEX CHART

 

Our analysis points to a very strong first quarter of 2018 within the US and for US Equities.  We believe the economic indicators will continue to perform well and, at least for the next 3 months, will continue to drive strong equity growth.  We do expect some volatility near the end of the first Quarter as well as continued 2~5% price volatility/rotation at times.  There will be levels of contraction in the markets that are natural and healthy for this rally.  So, be prepared for some rotation that could be deeper than what we have seen over the last 6 months.

 

In conclusion, equities are this point are overpriced, and overbought based on the short-term analysis. We should be entering slightly weaker time for large-cap stocks over the next couple weeks before it goes much higher. Because we are still in a full out bull market, Dips Should Be Bought and we will notify members of a new trade once we get another one of these setups.

 

In our next post, we are going to talk about two opportunities in precious metals forming for next week!

 

Read the analysis we presented before the end of 2017 regarding our predictive modeling systems and how we target our research to helping our members.  If you believe our analysis is accurate and timely, then we urge you to subscribe to www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to support our work and to benefit from our signals.  We believe 2018 – 2020 will be the years that strategic trades will outperform all other markets.  Join us in our efforts to find and execute the best trading opportunities and profit from these fantastic setups.

 

Chris Vermeulen
Technical Traders Ltd.

The Technical Trader Chris Vermeulen is with us today to share his thoughts on the oil sector. With crude over $62/barrel this is a level we have not seen since late 2014. The recovery has been slow for oil but it has built a nice base which typically results in a more powerful rally. Chris is careful to point out that he is not expecting a straight up move from here. We also look at the recovery underway in the dollar.

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Articles in this issue:

  • The Higher Purpose of Gann Theory
  • Penetrating the Essense of Gann
  • PREPARING FOR THE CRYPTOCURRENCY SWAN EVENT – Pg 10-14
  • Price and Time Targets
  • Time is Money
  • W.D. Ganns Squaring Time and Price
  • How to Avoid Trading Traps with Astro-Trading Tools
  • The Importance of Trading at Least Two
  • The 6.5 Year Cycle in U.S. Stocks
  • Trade Directional Price Moves
  • The Mental Block shat Stops You from Conquering Your Fear

To view, it now click

https://tradersworld.com/issue68.pdf

Chris Vermeulen has been involved in the markets since 1997 and is the founder of Technical Traders Ltd. He is an internationally recognized technical analyst, trader, and author of the book: Technical Trading Mastery – 7 Steps to Win With Logic

Through years of research, trading and helping individual traders around the world. He learned that many traders have great trading ideas, but they lack one thing, they struggle to execute trades in a systematic way for consistent results. Chris helps educate traders with a three-hour video course that can change your trading results for the better.

His mission is to help his clients boost their performance while reducing market exposure and portfolio volatility.

Last week, we posted our research showing that the US markets were setting up for a 2018 Q1 rally based on our research using our advanced predictive analysis modeling tools – the Adaptive Dynamic Learning model.  This model attempts to find unique price, technical and indicator patterns in past price bars and then attempts to find similar patterns in newer price bars.  When multiple price bars with similar pattern structures are found, it maps these as “unique genomic structures” and attempt to learn from the future price activities.  This unique modeling system was created by our team of skilled market researchers in an attempt to provide accurate insight into the markets future price swings.

 

In doing so, our predictive analysis modeling systems can attempt to tell us what is the highest likelihood of price activity going out 10, 15 and even 20 daily bars into the future. The forecasted highs and lows you should focus on are the yellow lines. The closer together these yellow lines are (predicted high/predicted low, the more confident we can be that prices should follow this path.  The farther apart they are, the more likely we will see increased volatility and the potential for larger swings in price range.

 

The article we posted last week was titled “2018 First Quarter Rally” for your reference.

 

As of this week, only a few days into the new 2018 trading year, the US markets are already up between 1~2.5% and likely have another 1~3% more upside activity before finding any resistance.  Let’s take a look at some charts.

 

This Weekly chart of the Nasdaq (NQ) clearly shows the expected future price levels and ranges going out nearly three months into the future.  You can see from this chart that the YELLOW LINES are predicting generally higher price levels through the end of February 2018 when a sudden price consolidation is expected.  This will likely result in a 2~5% price decline sometime between February 21 and March 26, 2018.  After this brief rotation, the Adaptive Dynamic Learning modeling system is predicting further price advancements in the range of 2~3% or more before stalling again in late April 2018. So pay attention, any lows in the NQ below 6485 are likely very strong BUY TRIGGERS.

Now, let’s take a look at the SPY on a Weekly basis.

 

The SPY chart is more uniform in structure and alignment with the ADL predictive modeling system.  This tells us that the price volatility for this symbol will be more muted than the NQ Futures chart.  It also tells us that we may not see the same level of volatility enter the SPY till after January 22, 2018 – which is when the first real measurable divergence in predictive price levels happens.

 

The first measurable rally in the SPY in 2018 should be about 2.5~3% from 2017 closing price levels and end near February 12th or so.  This move will be followed by a very short downside price correction of about -1~2% ending near March 10th~16th.  The next leg higher could be relatively large with a 3~5% rally through the end of April 2018.

We are predicting that this first Quarter in 2018 will see a continued market rally with a brief pause/stall in price near the end of February or early March.  We believe the Q1 final results will be the  NQ ending 3~5% higher than the 2017 closing price and the SPY ending 5~6% higher than the 2017 closing price.  Are you ready for this move?  Do you know which stock or ETF you should trade for maximum return? We can help you!

 

So far, our predictions about 2018 have been very accurate with this modeling system and you should be able to see the value of “being able to see into the future” with our various forecasting modeling system. Our team of researchers and professionals at Technical Traders Ltd. are here to assist you in finding and executing profitable trades each week with our unique research, modeling tools and trade alerts.  Imagine how much more successful 2018 would be for you if you knew what the rest of the year would look like?

 

Visit www.TheTechnicalTraders.com to learn how we can assist you in finding and executing successful strategies during the next two years as the major trends start to shift and new strategies will be required to profit from elevated volatility and falling prices.  Join today and make 2018 one of your best trading years yet.

 

Chris Vermeulen

The past week our forecasts have been dead on in terms of timing intraday tops, bottoms, along with oversold levels.

The 30-minute chart of the SP500 index shows the two gap fills, oversold buying zones, and our recent forecast yesterday afternoon which was for a continued rally. Everything has played out as expected thus far.

 

 

Subscribers of our Technical Trading Wealth Building Newsletter have already taken profits on our first trade of the year with QQQ. This trade setup was a no-brainer as it had multiple technical reasons to get long for an imminent pop/rally. Below is the recent trade issued to our group of traders.

 

 

 

As you can see in the QQQ chart below the market gave us an oversold condition which we entered long the next trading session and have now taken partial profits for quick and easy money.

 

 

 

If you want to make the most of out of 2018 with your trading and long-term investment positions join our Wealth Building Trading Newsletter Today – CLICK HERE